Problem 7-18 Abandonment

We are examining a new project. We expect to sell 6,700 units per year at $61 net cash flow apiece for the next 10 years. In other words, the annual operating cash flow is projected to be $61 6,700 = $408,700. The relevant discount rate is 15 percent, and the initial investment required is $1,780,000. After the first year, the project can be dismantled and sold for $1,650,000. Suppose you think it is likely that expected sales will be revised upward to 9,700 units if the first year is a success and revised downward to 5,300 units if the first year is not a success.

a. If success and failure are equally likely, what is the NPV of the project? Consider the possibility of abandonment in answering. (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

b. What is the value of the option to abandon? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)