Question: Problem: A local deli has developed a new sandwich menu. The deli owner asked three Ph.D. students studying supply chain to forecast the demand over

Problem:

A local deli has developed a new sandwich menu. The deli owner asked three Ph.D. students studying supply chain to forecast the demand over next 20 weeks.

The table below records the demand of the new sandwich for the first 20 weeks, along with the three forecasts, Forecast 1, 2, and 3. Answer the following questions based on the table. A spreadsheet is separately available here: "Deli Demand"

Week Demand Forecast 1 Forecast 2 Forecast 3
1 202 201 217 181
2 198 203 219 180
3 201 205 220 179
4 196 207 219 182
5 200 209 221 183
6 203 211 219 181
7 210 213 218 186
8 220 215 220 188
9 226 217 219 198
10 234 219 220 213
11 231 221 222 219
12 237 223 223 218
13 238 225 224 216
14 233 227 220 218
15 235 229 221 217
16 228 231 219 215
17 223 233 219 214
18 230 235 223 214
19 233 237 222 210
20 226 239 220 212

Q1.Measure the accuracy of each forecast using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) method.

1.Forcast 1?

2.Forcast 2 ?

3.Forcast 3?

Q2.Measure the accuracy of each forecast using Root-Mean-Squared Error (RMSE) method. Please round to two decimal places.

1.Forcast 1?

2.Forcast 2 ?

3.Forcast 3?

Q3.Round the mean forecast error to the nearest integer. Adjust the forecast bias of the most biased forecast by subtracting each observation with the rounded mean forecast error. Make sure all entries are integers.

Measure the accuracy of the adjusted forecast with MAD and RMSE methods. What is the newly unbiased forecast's MAD and RMSE values? Please round to two decimal places.

1.Adjusted Forecast MAD:?

2.Adjusted Forecast RMSE:?

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