Question: Problem AAA Co . is considering its business overseas. The company has two choices: ( 1 ) go to SE Asia; ( 2 ) go

Problem
AAA Co. is considering its business overseas. The company has two choices: (1) go to SE Asia; (2) go to Africa. If the company chooses SE Asia, the chance of success is \(40\%\) with a return of \(\$ 200\mathrm{~m}\) and the chance of failure is \(60\%\) with a return of \(\$ 100\mathrm{~m}\). If the company chooses Africa, the chance of overcoming cultural differences is \(30\%\), whereas the chance of not overcoming is \(70\%\) with a loss of \(\$ 50\mathrm{~m}\). When overcoming cultural differences, the company has two choices: (1) business alone: either success (with probability \(40\%\) and a return of \(\$ 250\mathrm{~m}\)) or failure (with probability \(60\%\) and a return of \(\$ 80\mathrm{~m}\)); (2) co-business with a local company: a return of \(\$ 120\mathrm{~m}\).
(a) Illustrate the above decision situation using a decision tree.
(b) You can identify three strategies from the problem. Explain these three strategies.
(c) For the following pairs of strategies, draw cumulative risk profiles separately [3!] and explain whether there is deterministic dominance, 1st order stochastic dominance, or 2 nd order stochastic dominance.
(1) Strategy 1 vs. Strategy 2
(2) Strategy 1 vs. Strategy 3
(3) Strategy 2 vs. Strategy 3
Problem AAA Co . is considering its business

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