Question: Q1: Given the data below, what is the forecast using a 4-period moving average? Day Actual Demand Forecasted Demand Monday 75 X Tuesday 55 X

Q1: Given the data below, what is the forecast using a 4-period moving average?

Day

Actual Demand

Forecasted Demand

Monday

75

X

Tuesday

55

X

Wednesday

62

X

Thursday

79

X

Friday

53

Saturday

91

Sunday

88

Monday

65

Tuesday

75

Wednesday

72

Thursday

84

Friday

68

Saturday

59

Sunday

85

Q2: Using the same data from Question 1, what is the forecast for Monday if you use a weighted moving average given the following weights (note: w1 corresponds to the most recent data followed by w2 and so on).

w1

0.30

w2

0.15

w3

0.45

w4

0.10

Question

Q3: Again, using the data from Question 1, calculate the forecast for the coming Monday using the simple exponential smoothing technique. The relevant parameters are: Sunday forecast = 72 alpha = 0.1

What effect on Monday's forecast would increasing the alpha value have?

The forecast would remain constant

The forecast would increase

The forecast would decrease

Alpha does not affect the forecast

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