Q4) When the basic tool of country risk analysis are applied to the different countries being analyzed, which country is more likely to have what kind of crisis, and why?

Table 1 Country A Table 2 Country B MORE 2001 005 100 RE 14.30% 12.08% 604.948 795,419 1967,700 10 1968 1766.621 1962 1,215,78 DES for con la Bad GDPC millia, os prin Robins af rymm. * GB Yukle Netfans l'apeur Games Account 10.00 1099895 PHOTO EUR Oxual Blue Seel ME 9.UN 21.60217.071937 1.2.29 A 36 19.1.2018 15.20 WAEST E WEB Table 3 Country C Table 4 Country D 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 64.30% 22.65% 11.84% National Accounts (% of GDP) Consumption Investment Government Exports Imports GDP (US$ millions) GDP (LC millions) Real GDP (LC millions, 1999 prices) 63.83% 23.03% 11.31% 10.28% -11.49% 592,493 27,600,250 24,012,300 10.09% -10.79% 506,749 24,633,240 22,163,000 60.58% 27.20% 11.26% 11.32% -13.87% 688,803 31,214,140 26.022.000 63.78% 23.54% 11.90% 12.76% -16.82% 800,783 35,314,510 28,525,000 2007 est. 56.74% 31.66% 11.72% 12.78% -19.91% 1,128,000 46,410,000 33,692,000 56.40% 29.51% 11.34% 13.36% -20.00% 922,000 41,257,000 31,084,000 National Accounts (% of GDP) Consumption Investment Government Exports Imports GDP (US$ millions) GDP (LC millions) Real GDP (LC millions, 1990 prices) 45.30% 11.43% 38.85% 42.15% 12.90% 12.16% 24.98% 29.80% 22.64% 28.07% 1,303,590 1,470,699 10,789,760 12,173,030 11,298,000 12,430,000 41.43% 43.79% 11.55% 34.49% 32.62% 1,720,401 14,239,420 13,683,000 25.56% 41.59% 12.20% 38.45% 33.30% 1,981,648 16,238,250 15,106,000 37.40% 42.12% 14.07% 36.06% 29.45% 2,688,100 20,940,700 16,782,000 est. 35.88% 42.15% 13.42% 39.49% 31.14% 3,320,300 25,300,000 18,698,000 Balance of Payments (% of GDP) Trade Balance Net Services Net Factor Payments Net Transfers Current Account Capital Account Net Foreign Direct Investment Net Portfolio Investment Other Capital Inflows Financial Balance Overall Balance Reserves, minus gold (% of GDP) Months of Imports Covered by Int'l Reserves -0.70% -0.31% -0.77% 3.18% 0.21% 0.02% 0.78% 0.20% 1.36% 2.34% 4.29% 13.35% 14.84 9.30% -0.30% 0.72% 1.02% 1.08% 0.15% -1.50% -0.39% -0.75% 3.80% 1.16% 0.65% 0.55% 1.39% 0.56% 2.49% 5.86% 16.70% 17.44 -2.47% 0.38% -0.59% 2.87% 0.11% 2.52% 0.52% 4.59% 1.39% 3.23% -4.06% 0.98% -0.809 2.90% -0.98% 3.58% 0.52% 4.46% 0.66% 2.70% 6.92% 16.47% 11.75 -6.64% 3.15% -0.47% 2.83% -1.13% 2.63% 0.929 4.46% -0.08% 5.42% 6.73% 18.52% 11.11 -7.13% 3.42% -0.47% 2.83% -1.36% 2.63% 0.62% 4.46% 0.11% 5.46% 2.57% 16.64% 10.03 Balance of Payments (% of GDP) Trade Balance Net Services Net Factor Payments Net Transfers Current Account Capital Account Net Foreign Direct Investment Net Portfolio Investment Other Capital Inflows Financial Balance Overall Balance Reserves, minus gold (% of GDP) Months of Imports Covered by Int'l Reserves 3.39% -0.52% 0.93% 1.00% 2.72% -0.19% 3.59% -0.79% -0.31% 2.48% 5.01% 22.33% 11.84 3.04% -0.58% 3.55% 1.20% 3.12% 0.01% 3.21% 0.78% -0.40% 3.59% 6.72% 27.75% 11.87 3.43% -0.56% 4.64% 1.33% 3.99% -0.10% 3.09% 1.14% 2.20% 6.44% 10.32% 35.72% 13.14 6.77% -0.47% 8.26% 1.28% 8.12% -0.57% 3.42% -0.25% -0.20% 2.97% 8.10% -0.33% 0.44% 1.09% 9.30% 0.15% 2.24% -2.51% 0.50% 0.22% 9.67% 39.75% 16,20 1.73% 1.00% 0.50% 3.22% 4.45% 34.92% 13.45 5.30% 10.52% 18.38% 15.90 41.46% 14.94 Exchange Rate and Money Supply Exchange Rate (LC/USD, end period) Real Effective Exchange Rate Money + Quasi-money (growth) Domestic Credit (growth) 48.030 104.6 16.76% 45.605 103.1 13.03% 9.53% 43.585 102.4 16.73% 18.00% 45.065 106.4 15.60% 15.45% 44.245 106.2 21.65% 22.62% 40.755 115.6 21.20% 21.20% Exchange Rate and Money Supply Exchange Rate (LC/USD, end period) Real Effective Exchange Rate (year 2000 = 100) Money + Quasi-money (growth) Domestic Credit (growth) 8.277 101.89 18.28% 27.99% 8.277 95.20 19.58% 19.50% 8.277 92.69 14.39% 8.79% 8.070 92.48 17.91% 10.67% 7.809 94.41 15.99% 16.25% 7.616 97.64 3.89% 2.73% 15.99% Interest and Inflation Rates Lending Rate (annual) Bank Rate (annual) Consumer Prices (year 2000 = 100) 11.92% 6.25% 108.2 11.46% 6.00% 112.4 10.92% 6.00% 116.6 10.75% 6.00% 121.5 11.19% 6.00% 128.6 12.50% 6.00% 133.9 Interest and Inflation Rates Lending Rate (annual) Money Market Rate (annual) Consumer Prices (year 2000 = 100) 5.31% 1.98% 99.9 5.31% 1.98% 101.1 5.58% 2.25% 105.0 5.58% 2.25% 106.8 6.12% 2.52% 108.9 6.39% 2.79% 111.6 Government Finances (% of GDP) Revenues Expenses Balance 10.90% 16.80% -5.90% 12.50% 17.10% -4.60% 12.00% 15.90% -4.00% 10.10% 14.20% -4.10% 14.10% 10.70% -3.50% 16.30% 13.00% -3.30% Government Finances (% of GDP) Revenues Expenses Balance 17.77% 20.64% -2.87% 18.01% 20.40% -2.40% 18.54% 20.01% 19.46% 20.86% -1.40% 19.11% 13.95% 5.16% 20.65% 14.09% 6.56% -1.47% LC - Local Currency LC - Local Currency Table 1 Country A Table 2 Country B MORE 2001 005 100 RE 14.30% 12.08% 604.948 795,419 1967,700 10 1968 1766.621 1962 1,215,78 DES for con la Bad GDPC millia, os prin Robins af rymm. * GB Yukle Netfans l'apeur Games Account 10.00 1099895 PHOTO EUR Oxual Blue Seel ME 9.UN 21.60217.071937 1.2.29 A 36 19.1.2018 15.20 WAEST E WEB Table 3 Country C Table 4 Country D 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 64.30% 22.65% 11.84% National Accounts (% of GDP) Consumption Investment Government Exports Imports GDP (US$ millions) GDP (LC millions) Real GDP (LC millions, 1999 prices) 63.83% 23.03% 11.31% 10.28% -11.49% 592,493 27,600,250 24,012,300 10.09% -10.79% 506,749 24,633,240 22,163,000 60.58% 27.20% 11.26% 11.32% -13.87% 688,803 31,214,140 26.022.000 63.78% 23.54% 11.90% 12.76% -16.82% 800,783 35,314,510 28,525,000 2007 est. 56.74% 31.66% 11.72% 12.78% -19.91% 1,128,000 46,410,000 33,692,000 56.40% 29.51% 11.34% 13.36% -20.00% 922,000 41,257,000 31,084,000 National Accounts (% of GDP) Consumption Investment Government Exports Imports GDP (US$ millions) GDP (LC millions) Real GDP (LC millions, 1990 prices) 45.30% 11.43% 38.85% 42.15% 12.90% 12.16% 24.98% 29.80% 22.64% 28.07% 1,303,590 1,470,699 10,789,760 12,173,030 11,298,000 12,430,000 41.43% 43.79% 11.55% 34.49% 32.62% 1,720,401 14,239,420 13,683,000 25.56% 41.59% 12.20% 38.45% 33.30% 1,981,648 16,238,250 15,106,000 37.40% 42.12% 14.07% 36.06% 29.45% 2,688,100 20,940,700 16,782,000 est. 35.88% 42.15% 13.42% 39.49% 31.14% 3,320,300 25,300,000 18,698,000 Balance of Payments (% of GDP) Trade Balance Net Services Net Factor Payments Net Transfers Current Account Capital Account Net Foreign Direct Investment Net Portfolio Investment Other Capital Inflows Financial Balance Overall Balance Reserves, minus gold (% of GDP) Months of Imports Covered by Int'l Reserves -0.70% -0.31% -0.77% 3.18% 0.21% 0.02% 0.78% 0.20% 1.36% 2.34% 4.29% 13.35% 14.84 9.30% -0.30% 0.72% 1.02% 1.08% 0.15% -1.50% -0.39% -0.75% 3.80% 1.16% 0.65% 0.55% 1.39% 0.56% 2.49% 5.86% 16.70% 17.44 -2.47% 0.38% -0.59% 2.87% 0.11% 2.52% 0.52% 4.59% 1.39% 3.23% -4.06% 0.98% -0.809 2.90% -0.98% 3.58% 0.52% 4.46% 0.66% 2.70% 6.92% 16.47% 11.75 -6.64% 3.15% -0.47% 2.83% -1.13% 2.63% 0.929 4.46% -0.08% 5.42% 6.73% 18.52% 11.11 -7.13% 3.42% -0.47% 2.83% -1.36% 2.63% 0.62% 4.46% 0.11% 5.46% 2.57% 16.64% 10.03 Balance of Payments (% of GDP) Trade Balance Net Services Net Factor Payments Net Transfers Current Account Capital Account Net Foreign Direct Investment Net Portfolio Investment Other Capital Inflows Financial Balance Overall Balance Reserves, minus gold (% of GDP) Months of Imports Covered by Int'l Reserves 3.39% -0.52% 0.93% 1.00% 2.72% -0.19% 3.59% -0.79% -0.31% 2.48% 5.01% 22.33% 11.84 3.04% -0.58% 3.55% 1.20% 3.12% 0.01% 3.21% 0.78% -0.40% 3.59% 6.72% 27.75% 11.87 3.43% -0.56% 4.64% 1.33% 3.99% -0.10% 3.09% 1.14% 2.20% 6.44% 10.32% 35.72% 13.14 6.77% -0.47% 8.26% 1.28% 8.12% -0.57% 3.42% -0.25% -0.20% 2.97% 8.10% -0.33% 0.44% 1.09% 9.30% 0.15% 2.24% -2.51% 0.50% 0.22% 9.67% 39.75% 16,20 1.73% 1.00% 0.50% 3.22% 4.45% 34.92% 13.45 5.30% 10.52% 18.38% 15.90 41.46% 14.94 Exchange Rate and Money Supply Exchange Rate (LC/USD, end period) Real Effective Exchange Rate Money + Quasi-money (growth) Domestic Credit (growth) 48.030 104.6 16.76% 45.605 103.1 13.03% 9.53% 43.585 102.4 16.73% 18.00% 45.065 106.4 15.60% 15.45% 44.245 106.2 21.65% 22.62% 40.755 115.6 21.20% 21.20% Exchange Rate and Money Supply Exchange Rate (LC/USD, end period) Real Effective Exchange Rate (year 2000 = 100) Money + Quasi-money (growth) Domestic Credit (growth) 8.277 101.89 18.28% 27.99% 8.277 95.20 19.58% 19.50% 8.277 92.69 14.39% 8.79% 8.070 92.48 17.91% 10.67% 7.809 94.41 15.99% 16.25% 7.616 97.64 3.89% 2.73% 15.99% Interest and Inflation Rates Lending Rate (annual) Bank Rate (annual) Consumer Prices (year 2000 = 100) 11.92% 6.25% 108.2 11.46% 6.00% 112.4 10.92% 6.00% 116.6 10.75% 6.00% 121.5 11.19% 6.00% 128.6 12.50% 6.00% 133.9 Interest and Inflation Rates Lending Rate (annual) Money Market Rate (annual) Consumer Prices (year 2000 = 100) 5.31% 1.98% 99.9 5.31% 1.98% 101.1 5.58% 2.25% 105.0 5.58% 2.25% 106.8 6.12% 2.52% 108.9 6.39% 2.79% 111.6 Government Finances (% of GDP) Revenues Expenses Balance 10.90% 16.80% -5.90% 12.50% 17.10% -4.60% 12.00% 15.90% -4.00% 10.10% 14.20% -4.10% 14.10% 10.70% -3.50% 16.30% 13.00% -3.30% Government Finances (% of GDP) Revenues Expenses Balance 17.77% 20.64% -2.87% 18.01% 20.40% -2.40% 18.54% 20.01% 19.46% 20.86% -1.40% 19.11% 13.95% 5.16% 20.65% 14.09% 6.56% -1.47% LC - Local Currency LC - Local Currency