Question: Question 13 (5 points) Saved What is the expected value of perfect information for the payoff table provided? The probability of a market rise is
Question 13 (5 points)
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What is the expected value of perfect information for the payoff table provided? The probability of a market rise is P = 0.7 and the probability of a market decline is P = 0.3
| Act | State of Nature ($) | |
|
| Market Rise | Market Decline |
| Investment 1 | 5,000 | 1,000 |
| Investment 2 | 7,000 | 1,000 |
Question 13 options:
| $800 | |
| $4,000 | |
| $3,200 | |
| $600 |
Question 14 (5 points)
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CanaSystems is considering a project to build upscale condominiums. They are considering plans on a small, medium, or large development and balancing possible future demand as low or high. Profits have been estimated and are summarized in a payoff table.
| Act | State of Nature ($millions) | |
|
| Low P(0.3) | High P(0.7) |
| Small | 6 | 11 |
| Medium | 5 | 13 |
| Large | 4 | 18 |
What is the expected value under conditions of certainty?
Question 14 options:
| $14.4 million | |
| $9.5 million | |
| $10.6 million | |
| $11.4 million |
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