Question $2$

$10$ pts

A firm uses trend projection and seasonal factors to simulate sales for a given time period. If assigns $"0"$ if sales fall, $"1"$ if sales are steady, $"2"$ if sales rise moderately, and $"3"$ if sales rise a lot. The simulator generates the following output.

$0102200123202022123122203002121$

Estimate the probability that sales will rise at least moderately.

$0\mathrm{.}452$

$0\mathrm{.}516$

$0\mathrm{.}613$

$0\mathrm{.}012$