Question $2(30$ pt$)$

Social experiment is conducted under the pent of "Black Move Intip, society, particularly with regard to the unanticipated observed. At their last experiment, the volunteer is kept segumes of new eshghghand black and requested to find for complex cases. In the last cave, dataset about the mumber of walking deadscaped in the last months a shared and it is expected to make a forecast about upcoming months by sung Moring Averags $(3$ months$).$ However, it is abo known that for the same data$-$vet, if myone makes forecast by wing Exponential Smoothing method $($with a value of $0,5$ for alpha sonstant, forced values are always early $25\%$ higher than the ones predicted by susang MA $(3).$ Under these condoms, how do you comment on the last $4$ months data$-($It is also knows that gapated number of captured walking dead is equal is $100$ the fint month of this planning period. Pleast explicitly show your calculations while soving the quest