Question: Question 3: Decision analysis (25 marks) Consider a decision analysis problem whose payoffs (in units of thousands of dollars) are given by the following payoff

Question 3: Decision analysis (25 marks) ConsiderQuestion 3: Decision analysis (25 marks) Consider

Question 3: Decision analysis (25 marks) Consider a decision analysis problem whose payoffs (in units of thousands of dollars) are given by the following payoff table: State 1 26 23 30 Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Prior probabilities State of nature State 2 30 29 22 State 3 24 28 23 0.2 0.5 0.3 a. Which alternative should be chosen under the maximin criterion? (5 marks) b. Which alternative should be chosen under the maximum likelihood criterion? (5 marks) C. Which alternative should be chosen under Bayes' decision rule? (5 marks) d. Construct a decision tree for this problem. You should show all necessary numbers and the final decision on the tree. (10 marks) Instruction: You can draw the decision tree on a paper, and include a photo of it into your file. You can do it in any drawing software like Visio, Paint, etc. as well

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

1 Expert Approved Answer
Step: 1 Unlock blur-text-image
Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!

Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts

Step: 2 Unlock
Step: 3 Unlock

Students Have Also Explored These Related General Management Questions!