Question 4: Quantitative Risk Analysis (e.g. Decision Tree) Is it worth offering incentive for key Oracle DBA to stay on project? We have an Oracle DBA employed at the company where we are doing a system upgrade. Her knowledge is very important to this project. There is a 70% chance she works diligently on the project, 10% chance of being apathetic, and 20% chance of leaving for a new job. If she leaves, the project has a 15% chance of success If she is apathetic, 40% Otherwise, 70% chance of success A successful project is worth $200K to us, failure will cost $-100K Determine the expected value of this project using a tree