Question: Read the CEA Test article on the next page is about the potential recurrence of colon cancer in patients who have previously undergone surgery for

 Read the CEA Test article on the next page is about

Read the CEA Test article on the next page is about the potential recurrence of colon cancer in patients who have previously undergone surgery for colon cancer. There is a large percent [4t]%) of false negatives and a large percent (sorts) offalse positives. Notice that the article does not mention what percent of patients being tested with this test. actually have a recurrence of colon cancer. {Try to answer the questions yourself, then see the last page for information on the solutions to a c.) a) Create a tree diagram for the situation of testing a patient. Since we do not I'CnDW the chance the patient will have a recurrence, let p = actual percent of patients who have had the cancer reoccur. b) Using your tree diagram. what is the probability. in terms of p, that a patient has had a recurrence of colon cancer, lotowing that the CEA test is positive? c) Using your answer to part b. determine what is the probability for recurrence is. if reality is p= 5%? p = 1t]%'? p=2%? Fame

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