Question: Read through the attachments below and answer all the questions that follow clearly giving explanations where necessary. Consider the following time-inhomogeneous Markov jump process with

Read through the attachments below and answer all the questions that follow clearly giving explanations where necessary.

Read through the attachments below and answer all the questions that followclearly giving explanations where necessary. Consider the following time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processwith transition rates as shown below: 2 0.1 0.21 0.Ir 0.21 4

Consider the following time-inhomogeneous Markov jump process with transition rates as shown below: 2 0.1 0.21 0.Ir 0.21 4 0.051 0.50 (i) Write down the generator matrix at time /. [2] (ii) Write down the Kolmogorov backward differential equations for By(s,!) and Pi3(s, 1). [3] (iii) Using the technique of separation of variables, or otherwise, show that the solution of the differential equation for By(s, () is: Pig(s, 1) =e -0.25(13-$2) [4] (iv) Show that the probability that the process visits neither state 2 nor state 4 by time /, given that it starts in state I at time 0, is: 8-0.07512 1 -0.2513 [6] (v) State the limiting value as / - of the probability in (iv). Explain why this must be the case for this particular model. [2] [Total 17]Discuss how time selection and class selection can affect the results of a mortality investigation and how you consider these factors should be allowed for in developing mortality tables for practical use. [6]Let i, be the effective interest rate in year /. Find the expected value and standard deviation of the accumulated value at time 3 of investments of 1 at time 1, 2 at time 2 and 3 at time 3, given the following information: E[i ] = 4% standard deviation of i = 0.5% Eliz ]= 4.5% standard deviation of i, = 0.8% E[i; ] = 4.8% standard deviation of is = 1% Interest rates in different years are independent. [8]

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