Question: REPOSTING THIS QUESTION. Please guys do recheck this for me as I did submit this before. Thank you Humber Bakery needs to decide how many

REPOSTING THIS QUESTION. Please guys do recheck this for me as I did submit this before. Thank you

Humber Bakery needs to decide how many units of its new Rexdough (nicknamed Rex) bread to bake at the beginning of each day. Because the bakery prides itself as the maker of the freshest premium bread in town, units that are unsold by the end of the day are discarded and considered loss. Each Rexdough bread costs $2.00 to produce and sells for $5.09. Humber's objective is to maximize daily gross profit. The bakery's daily production system is set up as follows:

Production System
Light Production (24,000 loaves)
Moderate Production (35,000 loaves)
Heavy Production (48,000 loaves)

Humber Bakery is uncertain about the demand for Rex but believes that one of the following states of nature (outcomes) will occur:

States of Nature
Low Demand (20,000 loaves)
Medium Demand (30,000 loaves)
High Demand (40,000 loaves)

Note: The bakery cannot sell more than it produces. For example, if production level is moderate (35,000) and demand is low (20,000), the bakery will sell only 20,000 units but will incur the costs of producing 35,000 units. The corresponding gross profit will be $5.09(20,000) - $2(35,000) = $31,800.

PART A

Calculate the payoff (daily gross profit, in dollars) for each production/demand level combination and complete the following payoff table.

Low Demand

Medium Demand High Demand
Light Production 53800
Moderate Production 31800 82700
Heavy Production 5800 56700

After some deliberations, the bakery's manager arrived at the following probabilities of the states of nature (outcomes):

Probabilities for States of Nature
P(Low Demand)= 0.8
P(Medium Demand)= 0.1
P(High Demand)= 0.1

a) What is the expected monetary value of the optimal decision. EMV = $ Incorrect

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

1 Expert Approved Answer
Step: 1 Unlock blur-text-image
Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!

Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts

Step: 2 Unlock
Step: 3 Unlock

Students Have Also Explored These Related Finance Questions!