review and comment on these articles and video about misusing conditional probability which may lead to misdiagnose of a disease or drug use, or invalid convictions of defendants.

• The Prosecutor's Fallacy Explained (video)
• Misuse of Statistics in the courtroom: The Sally Clark case (article)
• Doctors flunk quiz on screening-test math (article)

Reading This is a graded discussion: 5 points possible due Jul 13 Discussion Topic 3 in Misuse of Conditional Probability O1 255 PORTER OV In our discussion of probability in Chapter 4, I mentioned that many people misunderstand and misinterpret conditional probabilities. This is often true in diagnostic testing where medical professionals will confuse the false positive rate with the actual probability that someone who tests positive really has the disease. Similar misuse of conditional probability occurs in court trials where a prosecutor will incorrectly use conditional probability to assign a very high chance that the defendant is guilty of crime. This misuse even has a name, the Prosecutor's Fallacy. This week's discussion topic will be to review and comment on these articles and video about misusing conditional probability which may lead to misdiagnose of a disease or drug use, or invalid convictions of defendants. . The Prosecutor's Fallacy Explained (video). [ . Misuse of Statistics in the courtroom: The Sally Clark case (article) . Doctors flunk quiz on screening-test math (article) (Discussion Assignments submitted late will be reduced 1 point per week late.)This week's discussion topic will be to review and comment on these articles and video about misusing conditional probability which may lead to misdiagnose of a disease or drug use, or invalid convictions of defendants. . The Prosecutor's Fallacy Explained (video) e . Misuse of Statistics in the courtroom: The Sally Clark case (article) e . Doctors flunk quiz on screening-test math (article) e (Discussion Assignments submitted late will be reduced 1 point per week late.) Search entries or author Unread Subscribe Reply