Simulation

To start the simulation, review all communication and documents. You will find key information to assist your success in the simulation.

MAPE: $143\mathrm{.}43\%$

$0\%$

$50\%$

$100\%$

Regular$25\%$

Midgrade$85\%$

Premium$319\%$

September $2025$

$(4$ Month Remaining$)$

Mean Absolute Precent Error: $143\mathrm{.}43\%$

Regular: $25\%$; Midgrade:$85\%$; Premium: $319\%$;

Result of your decision are displayed, Please update your forecast and click Submit.

Actual Demand in Previous Months

Chart

Line chart with $3$ lines.

The chart has $1$ X axis displaying Month Range.

The chart has $1$ Y axis displaying Demand. Data ranges from $629$ to $11956.$

DemandMonth RangeRegularMidgradePremium$05$K$10$K$15$KMarAprMayJunJulAug

End of interactive chart.

Make a Forecast

Forecast for September $2025$

REGULAR

REGULAR$7500$gallons

Gallons

MIDGRADE

MIDGRADE$800$gallons

Gallons

PREMIUM

PREMIUM$3400$gallons

Gallons

Use AI

$(2$ chances$)$

Price Prediction: Possible decrease in September $2025$

Demand

Select Month Range:

$6$ Months$12$ Months$24$ Months

$6$ Months

$$

Chart

Bar chart with $6$ data series.

The chart has $1$ X axis displaying Month Range. Data range: $20$ categories.

The chart has $1$ Y axis displaying Demand. Data ranges from $509$ to $12021.$

Month RangeDemandPremium $-$ Forecasted demandPremium $-$ Actual demandRegular $-$ Forecasted demandRegular $-$ Actual demandMidgrade $-$ Forecasted demandMidgrade $-$ Actual demandJanFebMarAprMayJun$050001000015000$

End of interactive chart.

Absolute Percentage Error Range

Chart

Line chart with $3$ lines.

The chart has $1$ X axis displaying Month Range. Data range: $20$ categories.

The chart has $1$ Y axis displaying APE Range. Data ranges from $2$ to $1448.$

Month RangeAPE RangeRegular $-$ Absolute Percentage ErrorMidgrade $-$ Absolute Percentage ErrorPremium $-$ Absolute Percentage ErrorJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSeptOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSeptOctNovDec$0\%600\%1200\%1800\%$

End of interactive chart.

Tracking Signal

Chart

Line chart with $3$ lines.

The chart has $1$ X axis displaying Month Range. Data range: $20$ categories.

The chart has $1$ Y axis displaying Tracking. Data ranges from $-19\mathrm{.}98$ to $12\mathrm{.}65.$

Month RangeTrackingRegular $-$ Tracking SignalMidgrade $-$ Tracking SignalPremium $-$ Tracking Signa