Question: SITUATION. A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90% reliable when the person is guilty and 99% reliable when the person

SITUATION. A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90% reliable when the person is guilty and 99% reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 10% of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum and 1% of the innocent are judged guilty. If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 5% have ever committed a crime, and the serum indicates that he is guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

1 Expert Approved Answer

Step: 1 Unlock blur-text-image

Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!

Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts

Step: 2 Unlock

Step: 3 Unlock

Students Have Also Explored These Related Mathematics Questions!

The Western Pennsylvania Milk Company is producing milk at a fixed rate of 5,000 gallons/hour. The company's clients request 100,000 gallons of milk over the course of one day. This demand is spread...

A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90 percent reliable when the person is guilty and 99 percent reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 10 percent of the guilty are judged...

A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 86%reliable when the person is guilty and 98% reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 14% of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum...

A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 84 percent reliable when the person is guilty and 99 percent reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 16 percent of the guilty are judged...

A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 84 percent reliable when the person is gulity and 99 percent reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 16 percent of the guilty are judged...

Officers arrest Fred and advise him of his Miranda rights. Fred understands his rights and verbally waives them. After 20 minutes of questioning, officers figure out that Fred is lying to them and so...

Providing Quality School-Based Learning and Support Services 239 Chapter 6 Language and literacy support Your core task The core task of almost all TAs is to support students language and literacy...

Who qualifies as an expert witness? 100 - 150 Words 13 DOCUMENTING AND PRESENTING THE CASE INTRODUCTION This chapter will explain how to pull everything together into a coherent report, and then,...

INSTRUCTIONS Go through the brief and mark each citation for the Table of Authorities . Hint: Citations to the case record do NOT belong on Table of Authorities, so ignore the record citations (R. at...

For this case Please Help me Go through the brief and mark each citation for the Table of Authorities. Hint: Citations to the case record do NOT belong on Table of Authorities, so ignore the record...

Allyson, Brenda and Carolin (A, B and C) own three properties and houses next door to each other at a vacation lake in British Columbia. Cs house is difficult to access from the lake, and she usually...

Proof of Key Operator Relations (a) FV[a] =V[1/a]F (b) Q[a]F = ejka FR[a] (c) V[a]R[z] = ekz (22)R[z/a]V[a] (d) S[s]Q[a] = Qs[a]G[as]Q[a]S[5] a=-a/x

When designing a mentoring program, which measures and areas of success should be considered on a micro - level? a . skill development b . knowledge transfer c . inclusion d . retention

A batch of 25 injection-molded parts contains 5 that have suffered excessive shrinkage. (a) If two parts are selected at random, and without replacement, what is the probability that the second part...

The thickness of a flange on an aircraft component is uniformly distributed between 0.95 and 1.05 millimeters. (a) Determine the cumulative distribution function of flange thickness. (b) Determine...

The time between the arrival of electronic messages at your computer is exponentially distributed with a mean of two hours. (a) What is the probability that you do not receive a message during a...

Integration by parts is required. The probability density function for the diameter of a drilled hole in millimeters is for mm. Although the target diameter is 5 millimeters, vibrations, tool wear,...

(Retained Earnings Statement) Eddie Zambrano Corporation began operations on January 1, 2001. During its first 3 years of operations, Zambrano reported net income and declared dividends as follows....

Select two non-probability sampling techniques and explain why each is an example of a non-probability sampling technique. Give an example of a research project that would be appropriate for each...

How do media shape our thinking?

Note the use of stories to add interest and effect to public presentations. Describe a speaker who uses a story effectively and one who uses a story ineffectively. What are the differences between...

Describe Elizabeths credibilityinitial, derived, and terminal.