Question: Sometimes the term premium (or yield curve spread) is negative or inverted, meaning short term nominal rates are higher than long term nominal rates. Which

Sometimes the term premium (or yield curve spread) is negative or inverted, meaning short term nominal rates are higher than long term nominal rates. Which theory proposes that this occurs because investors expect a near time recession and that the Fed will have to lower short term interest rates in the future:

Unbiased expectations theory

Liquidity premium theory

Market segmentations theory

None of the above

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