Question: SUPER 8 - Case AnalysisPreparation in Groups 1 . Analysis of Market Demand 2 . Revise historic statement operations 3 . Project Cash Flow 4
SUPER Case AnalysisPreparation in Groups Analysis of Market Demand Revise historic statement operations Project Cash Flow Place a value on the motel using DCF Place Value using sales comparison and industry ruleofthumb Identify and assess the qualitative advantages and disadvantages of selling the Super RecommendationAnalysis of Market Demand What will happen to the Super Occupancy Rate, ADR and Revpar? Can the Super be sustainable in these market conditions? Supply of rooms in the Guelph lodging market will increase by XXX rooms Does Super have the same target market that its competitors do Estimate the Occupancy Rate and ADR, Room Revenue for each year Decrease XX in Occupancy Rate and XX in ADR YOY Year over Year x XX decrease in Occupancy rate and ADR YOY Economic environment and new rooms supplyRevise historic statement operationsTo estimate future Cash Flows, it is crucial to revise the historical financial information It is crucial to separate variable and fixed expenses Four variable costs: Royalties & Loyalty program & reservations fees vary with room revenue Wages & benefits afterexcluding the portion related to manager salaries and guest room telephone vs phone office usage Management fee received from affiliated company from revenue in as it is NOT revenue associated with the Super It was used as a tax planning strategies What should be done? Manager salaries to market based rates What should be done? Bonus from wages and benefits, as it is mentioned in and What should be done? Reserve for replacement item to account for yearly capital renovations PIP property improvements plans Remove noncash flow items: Amortization, as this doesnt involve a cash flow outflowCash Flow Projections Estimate Revenues: Calculate available rooms for each projection year, calculate room revenue Calculate restaurant lease income to reflect inflation rate for each projection year Estimate variable expenses: percentage of room revenue that is loyalty program & reservation fees, based on roomrevenues. For each projection year of loyalty & Reservation fees, multiply this projection year factor by the correspondingroom revenue. This scenario is similar for wages & benefits. Telephone expense varies with telephone revenue Estimate fixed expenses: Calculate it to reflect the inflation rate for each projection year. Please check equipment rentitem Calculate the reserve for replacement, adding capital improvements in Calculate the income taxes for each projection yearPlace Value using sales comparisonand industry ruleofthumb Exhibit : The price per room varies from $ to $ with the majority of sales being clusteredbetween $ $ Comparable sales approach: estimates ranging from $million $ million, with the majority of estimatesbeing in the $million to $million range Ruleof Thumb: the hotels are generally sold for two to four times room revenues. Based on annualroom revenue of $ Exhibit IM this ruleof thumb suggests that Super would sell for between$$millionPlace a value on the motelDiscounted Cash Flow Estimate the future Cash Flows Determining an appropriate discount rate to use Recognizing that cash flows will continue after year period, estimated and account for these additionalCF Calculate the Net Present Value NPV WACC: Weighted Average Cost of Capital rounded up of market rate Cost of Capital for Debt Financing Corporate Tax Rate of financing debtIdentify and assess the qualitative advantages anddisadvantages of selling the Super Advantages: There may not always be a buyer wanting to purchase it Othersat least three more Disadvantages: There is a sentimental attachment, since they have owned it for years. It was their first property Othersat least three moreRecommendation
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