Question: SUPER 8 - Case AnalysisPreparation in Groups 1 . Analysis of Market Demand 2 . Revise historic statement operations 3 . Project Cash Flow 4

SUPER 8- Case AnalysisPreparation in Groups1. Analysis of Market Demand2. Revise historic statement operations3. Project Cash Flow4. Place a value on the motel using DCF5. Place Value using sales comparison and industry rule-of-thumb6. Identify and assess the qualitative advantages and disadvantages of selling the Super 87. RecommendationAnalysis of Market Demand1. What will happen to the Super 8 Occupancy Rate, ADR and Revpar?2. Can the Super 8 be sustainable in these market conditions?3. Supply of rooms in the Guelph lodging market will increase by XXX rooms4. Does Super 8 have the same target market that its competitors do?5. Estimate the Occupancy Rate and ADR, Room Revenue for each year6.2007 Decrease XX% in Occupancy Rate and XX% in ADR YOY (Year over Year 2007 x 2006)7.2008 XX% decrease in Occupancy rate and ADR YOY8. Economic environment and new rooms supplyRevise historic statement operationsTo estimate future Cash Flows, it is crucial to revise the historical financial information.1. It is crucial to separate variable and fixed expenses2. Four variable costs: Royalties & Loyalty program & reservations fees (vary with room revenue), Wages & benefits afterexcluding the portion related to manager salaries and guest room telephone vs. phone office usage3. Management fee received from affiliated company from revenue in 2005, as it is NOT revenue associated with the Super 8.It was used as a tax planning strategies - What should be done?4. Manager salaries to market based rates What should be done?5. Bonus from wages and benefits, as it is mentioned in 2003 and 2005 What should be done?6. Reserve for replacement item to account for yearly capital renovations PIP (property improvements plans)7. Remove non-cash flow items: - Amortization, as this doesnt involve a cash flow outflowCash Flow Projections1. Estimate Revenues: Calculate available rooms for each projection year, calculate room revenue2. Calculate restaurant lease income to reflect inflation rate for each projection year3. Estimate variable expenses: percentage of room revenue that is loyalty program & reservation fees, based on roomrevenues. For each projection year of loyalty & Reservation fees, multiply this projection year factor by the correspondingroom revenue. This scenario is similar for wages & benefits. Telephone expense varies with telephone revenue4. Estimate fixed expenses: Calculate it to reflect the inflation rate for each projection year. Please check equipment rentitem5. Calculate the reserve for replacement, adding capital improvements in 20096. Calculate the income taxes for each projection yearPlace Value using sales comparisonand industry rule-of-thumb1. Exhibit 11: The price per room varies from $ 67,708 to $ 120,583, with the majority of sales being clusteredbetween $ 88,000- $ 98,0002. Comparable sales approach: estimates ranging from $2.4million - $ 4.3million, with the majority of estimatesbeing in the $3.3million to $3.5million range.3. Rule-of Thumb: the hotels are generally sold for two to four times room revenues. Based on 2005 annualroom revenue of $ 808,125(Exhibit IM-3), this rule-of thumb suggests that Super 8 would sell for between$1.6-$3.2millionPlace a value on the motelDiscounted Cash Flow1. Estimate the future Cash Flows2. Determining an appropriate discount rate to use3. Recognizing that cash flows will continue after 10 year period, estimated and account for these additionalCF4. Calculate the Net Present Value ( NPV)** WACC: Weighted Average Cost of Capital =9%(rounded up)19% of market rate/ Cost of Capital for Debt Financing =6%/ Corporate Tax Rate =18.6%/75% of financing debtIdentify and assess the qualitative advantages anddisadvantages of selling the Super 81. Advantages:- There may not always be a buyer wanting to purchase it- Others(at least three more)2. Disadvantages:- There is a sentimental attachment, since they have owned it for 20 years. It was their first property- Others(at least three more)Recommendation.

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