Question: Suppose that research and development is $ 4 million initially and $ 3 million more for each of the next four years. And suppose that

Suppose that research and development is $4 million initially and $3 million more for each of the next four years. And suppose that at the end of the firth year the firm has an option to either go ahead with the product or simply abandon it. If the firm goes ahead with the development of the product, this will require an investment of $150 million at the end of the fifth year. Assume that we can sell the investment in the product to another party, that is, cash out, at the end of the fifth year for $145 million. And, because we know that all of this is uncertain, let us attach probabilities of this being a marketable product and, hence, one that the firm is able to cash out. Assume that there is a 55% chance that the firm can cash out for $145 million and a 45% chance that the firm cannot cash out at all. Use real options approach to determine the value of this project

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