Suppose that the blood test for some disease is reliable in this sense: for people who are infected with the disease, the test produces a positive result in 99.99% of cases; for people not infected, a positive test result is obtained in only 0.02% of cases. Furthermore assume that in the general population, one person in 10,000 people is infected. A person is selected at random and found to test positive for the disease. What is the probability that the individual is actually infected?

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The blood test for some disease is reliable in the sense that For people infected with the disease t... View the full answer