Question: Suppose that the probabilities that Amy drives 1 2 , 0 0 0 , 1 5 , 0 0 0 , and 1 8 ,

Suppose that the probabilities that Amy drives 12,000,15,000, and 18,000 miles per year are 0.5,0.4, and 0.1, respectively. What option should Amy choose using the expected value approach?
EV(Dealer A)=$ EV(Dealer B)=$ EV(Dealer C)=$ The best decision is ---Select--- Dealer A Dealer B Dealer C Dealer A or B Dealer A or C Dealer B or C .
(e)
Develop a risk profile for the decision selected in part (d). What is the most likely cost, and what is its probability?
Based on the risk profile, the most likely cost is $ at a probability of .
(f)
Suppose that after further consideration Amy concludes that the probabilities that she will drive 12,000,15,000, and 18,000 miles per year are 0.3,0.4, and 0.3, respectively. What decision should Amy make using the expected value approach?
EV(Dealer A)=$ EV(Dealer B)=$ EV(Dealer C)=$ The best decision is ---Select--- Dealer A Dealer B Dealer C Dealer A or B Dealer A or C Dealer B or C .

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