Suppose you need to decide how much capacity to produce in the face of uncertain demand. Assume
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Question:
Suppose you need to decide how much capacity to produce in the face of uncertain demand. Assume that is costs $17 to build each unit of capacity and each unit of lost sales due to inefficient capacity costs $35. The demand profile is as follows:
Demand | Probability |
1 | 0.12 |
2 | 0.18 |
3 | 0.2 |
4 | 0.2 |
5 | 0.15 |
6 | 0.1 |
7 | 0.05 |
- What is the expected demand?
- Assume your objective is to minimize the total cost (build capacity+lost sales). How much capacity should you build? (Hint: lost sales is capacity-expected demand that exceeds the capacity)
- What is the expected utilization for the capacity determined in part 2?
- What is the probability of idle capacity for the capacity determined in part 2?
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