Question: Table 2.1: Actual sales data for the reading glasses during 2021 Month & Actual Sales (Pairs of reading glasses) January 2021 : 2 800 February
Table 2.1: Actual sales data for the reading glasses during 2021
Month & Actual Sales (Pairs of reading glasses) January 2021 : 2 800 February 2021 : 3 000 March 2021 : 5 000 April 2021 : 4 000 May 2021 : 5 600 June 2021 : 8 000 July 2021 : 8 000 August 2021 : 7 900 September 2021 : 6 000 October 2021 : 4 050 November 2021 : 4 900 December 2021 :5 550
4.1 Calculate the three-month-weighted-moving-average monthly forecasts for the period April 2021 December 2021. Use weights of 0.5, and 0.2 for the most recent and oldest monthly data respectively and 0.3 for the middle month (show all workings). . .(9 marks)
4.2 Determine the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) of the three-month-weighted-moving-average monthly forecasts for the April - December 2021 period. (4 marks)
a. The linear regression equation of the sales of reading glasses for the 2021 financial year is given by the expression: y = 201.4x + 4091 (where 'y' denotes monthly sales, and 'x', the number representing the month. For example, x = 1, 2, 3, etc., if the month is January, February, March, etc.). Use the regression equation to determine the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) of the regression forecasts for the April - December 2021 period. .(5 marks)
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