$\backslash$table$[[\backslash$table$[[$State of$],[$Economy$]],\backslash$table$[[$Probability of$],[$State of Economy$]],\backslash$table$[[$Security Returns if$],[$State Occurs$]]],[$Roll$,$Ross$],[\backslash$table$[[$Bust$],[$Boom$]],\mathrm{.}40,-16\%,17\%$