Question: The attachments below contains three questions. Help in solving them. Question 3.26 A random sample X1, .... X,, is taken from a normal distribution with

The attachments below contains three questions. Help in solving them.

The attachments below contains three questions. Help in solving them. Question 3.26A random sample X1, .... X,, is taken from a normal distribution

Question 3.26 A random sample X1, .... X,, is taken from a normal distribution with mean / and variance oz. (i) State the distribution of Z ( x, - X)= 02 [1] It is decided to estimate the variance, o, using the following estimator: 6 2 = - 1 - E(x, - x)= n+b- where b is a constant. (ii) (a) Use part (i) to obtain the bias of 62. (b ) Hence, show that o is unbiased when b= -1. [3] (iii) (a) Show, using parts (i) and (ii)(a), that the mean square error of o- is given by: MSE(62) - 2(n-1) + (1+b)2 (n + b)2 (b) Determine whether the estimator, o, is consistent. (c) Show that the mean square error of o is minimised when b =1. [7] You may assume that the turning point is a minimum. (iv) Comment on the best choice for the value of b. [2] [Total 13]Question 3.22 Claims under a certain type of insurance policy occur as a Poisson process so that the number of claims arising from a policy in one calendar year is a Poisson random variable with mean # . In order to estimate / a random sample of n such policies is examined and it is found that no of these policies incurred no claims during the last full calendar year, n of them incurred one claim and the remainder incurred more than one claim. (i) Write down the likelihood of these observations and show that the maximum likelihood estimator / is a solution of the equation: m - (notn)ute"(nu + nu-m)=0 [ You do not need to verify that a maximum is attained.] [10] (ii) A random sample of 20 such policies yields no =8 and m =7. By using the tables of the cumulative Poisson distribution, or otherwise, to find a good starting approximation for / and then using trial and error (or a more sophisticated method), determine / correct to two decimal places. [7] [Total 17] Question 3.23 The claim amounts for a certain insurance company follow a Pareto distribution with probability distribution function given by: o250" (250 + x)-@-1 (i) Show that the maximum likelihood estimator for o is given by: a = n [In(250+ x;) -nIn 250 [4] A random sample of 150 claims gives _ In(250 + x; ) =869. (ii) Given that the estimator is asymptotically unbiased, obtain a 95% confidence interval for the parameter a . [5] [Total 9]

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