The first Individual Assignment of this module is about the concepts discussed in the module Introduction: A good and appropriate introduction to the distribution networks as

well as the supply chain network design and policies. Set the scene for the

assignment. Make sure to define the primary aim of your project in the introduction.

Main body: Present and discuss the issues of the topic. Demonstrate in$-$depth critical

examination and discuss evidence of independent research on the topic. Search the

related literature using a variety of sources such as textbooks, academic and scientific

journals. Organize and structure your work so that the reader can follow the line of the

argument. Link the paragraphs by using linking words. The model, input data

analysis, and critical analysis of results are expected to appear in this part of the

document.

Conclusions: The conclusion section is an integral part of every project. Writing a

good concluding paragraph can be challenging. Restate your thesis and summarize

your main points of evidence for the reader. Similarly to the introduction section, the

conclusion should be interesting! The conclusion should summarize the main points

of your assignment. Implications: Demonstrate what you have learned from your

assignment, by addressing the central question and adequately summarize the findings

of your research.

during the first two weeks. Specifically, the students will consider quantitative tools for

decision making in logistics and supply chain management. In this individual project, the

students will have the opportunity to practice valuable applications of quantitative models for

procurement logistics$.$ Read the project description below for more information.

Content and structure

$11$ years ago, a group of university colleagues identified a business opportunity during their

undergraduate studies and decided to create a company that they called "Hand$-$made Bread".

The company has positioned itself very well in the market, thanks to which it has managed to

grow years after year $($with a couple of exceptions due to economic conditions$),$ reaching an

average annual growth of $16\%.$ In the beginning, the value proposition was novel, but today

several competitors have appeared on the market. Despite this, the company's partners

remain optimistic and hope to keep growing over the years.

The moment in which the company is located is important for the partners and they want to

make a tactical$-$strategic analysis of their productive system. They have therefore asked for

the help of experts in the use of models on decision$-$making in demand management

techniques.

To support this process, historical data about the actual demand behavior is given in Table $1.$

Based on these data, calculate the demand forecast for year $12.$ Clearly justify the choice of

the selected method$($s$)$ and the quality of their forecasts.

Table $1.$ Historical data about actual demand

Your assignment will be assessed using the Writing Rubric located below of the Marking

Criteria shell.