Question: The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand at Amber Gardner's software firm: Demand Level 0.30
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand at Amber Gardner's software firm:
|
|
| Demand Level | |
|
| 0.30 | 0.70 | |
|
|
| Low | High |
| Alternative | A | $12,500 | $40,000 |
|
| B | $7,500 | $51,000 |
|
| C | ($2,000) | $60,000 |
| *Profits in $ thousands | |||
- Using Excel, create an X,Y plot the expected-value lines for the three alternatives on a graph. Label the graph completely and clearly.
- Is there any alternative that would never be appropriate in terms of maximizing expected profit? Explain on the basis of your graph in part a.
- Over what range of P(High Demand) would alternative A be the best choice if the goal is to maximize expected profit? Show work.
- Over what range of P(High Demand) would alternative C be the best choice if the goal is to maximize expected profit? Show work.
- Using the probability of low demand as 0.30 (therefore probability of high demand = 0.70), compute the expected payoffs of each of the alternatives. Show work. Using the expected payoff criterion, which of the alternatives will you recommend?
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