The following table is given. What is the demand forecast for period 13 if the Winter model is used?(P=4)

Quarter	Period	Demand D t	Level	Trend	Seasonal Factor S t	Forecast
			2,593	227
I	1	2,250	2,820	227	0.90	2,536
II	2	1,737	3,046	227	0.60	1,824
III	3	2,412	3,273	227	0.70	2,283
IV	4	7,269	3,500	227	1.80	6,301
I	5	3,514	3,727	227	0.90	3,348
II	6	2,143	3,954	227	0.60	2,367
III	7	3,459	4,181	227	0.70	2,918
IV	8	7,056	4,408	227	1.80	7,947
I	9				0.90
II	10				0.60
III	11				0.70
IV	12				1.80

		8,569
		9,012
		4,989
		9,569

What is the estimate of demand in period 11 if the static method is used, L0 (level) is 100, T0 ( trend) is 5, the number of periods per season (P) is 4, and S3 (seasonal factor for period 3) is 1.2?

		100
		186
		105
		126