Question: The forecasts generated by three forecasting methods and actual demand for the Torrance Company are as follows: MONTH DEMAND FORECAST 1 FORECAST 2 FORECAST 3
The forecasts generated by three forecasting methods and actual demand for the Torrance Company are as follows:
| MONTH | DEMAND | FORECAST 1 | FORECAST 2 | FORECAST 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 269 | 275 | 268 | 280 |
| 2 | 289 | 266 | 287 | 295 |
| 3 | 294 | 290 | 292 | 290 |
| 4 | 278 | 284 | 298 | 280 |
| 5 | 268 | 270 | 274 | 270 |
| 6 | 269 | 268 | 270 | 260 |
Fisher Ke, the forecasting manager, has been asked to compute the MSE and MAD for each forecasting method. Which forecasting method is the best? Would your decision on which forecasting method performs better depend on which forecasting accuracy measure (MAD or MSE) is selected?
Answer
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To determine the best forecasting method we need to calculate the Mean Squared Error MSE and Mean Absolute Deviation MAD for each method These metrics ... View full answer
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