Question: The table below shows three time estimates for a series of activities to be carried out in one of the electrical workshops at your institution.
The table below shows three time estimates for a series of activities to be carried out in one of the electrical workshops at your institution.
| Task | Estimated task times for works to be completed (weeks) | ||
| Optimistic duration | Most likely duration | Pessimistic duration | |
| A-B | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| A-J | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| B-C | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| B-D | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| C-E | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| C -F | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| D-F | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| E-H | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| F-G | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| F-H | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| F-J | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| G-I | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| H-L | 17 | 20 | 21 |
| I-K | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| J-L | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| K-L | 1 | 2 | 3 |
- Using an Activity on Arrow (AoA) approach, develop a logic network showing the activity durations, means earliest start and latest completion times for each activity
- Identify different paths, including the critical path and the estimated overall mean duration for the wiring work.
- Calculate the probability of the wiring work package being completed by week 20.
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