Question: The variance ratio (VR) can be used to determine whether returns satisfy the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Let n = 5 and r5,t be

The variance ratio (VR) can be used to determine whether returns satisfy

The variance ratio (VR) can be used to determine whether returns satisfy the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Let n = 5 and r5,t be the five period log return at time t, where t = 1,2,..., T. 1. Express (r5,t-F5) in terms of deviations of the relevant one period log returns from their respective means. Denote 75 to be the mean of the five period log return. 2. Factor (r5,t-F5) as expressed in Q 1 into squares and cross-product terms. 1 3. Using the factorisation of (r5,t - F5)2 in Q 2, provide the expression for s (5) 1 (r5,1 75)3 /. = 4. What condition on the expression in Q. 3 is needed to ensure that the factorisation implied by Q1.2 only includes squared terms? What does this imply about the properties of returns? 5. Using the formula in Q 3 for s (5), deduce that s (5) = 5s (1) under the condition in Q. 4.

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