Question: There are some arguments regarding how contingency on the project should be estimated. The current contingency is at 8 % . You and the management

There are some arguments regarding how contingency on the project should be estimated. The current contingency is at 8%. You and the management team believe that it is a completely inappropriate contingency estimate. Your manager needs you to convince the Opera House Board that there is insufficient contingency on the project. But your manager is concerned that they are not familiar with modern contingency estimating tools such as Monte Carlo simulation. 3.1 How does the concept of contingency fit into the field of risk management? Where is this topic covered in ISO31000 and in PMBoK? (10 Points)3.2 You decide that a Monte Carlo simulation needs to be conducted on the cost estimate and schedule/programme of the project. You need to describe this concept of Monte Carlo Simulation to your colleagues. What steps would you follow in your presentation to the board? Please describe each of the steps and make sure that how Monte Carlo simulation works is clearly covered. (15 points)3.3 You need to convince them that the cost and effort involved in doing a Monte Carlo Simulation on the cost estimate and schedule of the Cape Town Opera house project is worthwhile. How would you convince them that it is the right thing to do?(5 Points)

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