Question: This incentive program was predicted to be popular with drivers, and cities were eager to implement it . Cities were told that they would be

This incentive program was predicted to be popular with drivers, and cities were eager to
implement it. Cities were told that they would be given a date on which they could start enrolling
drivers in the program, and were sent a SQL query that identified qualified drivers from their city.
Drivers qualify based on a number of criteria, the most important of which was how active they
had been in the preceding month. So, for example, a driver would only qualify if they were in the
top quartile of their citys distribution of minutes driven in the last month.
On their assigned date (staggered across cities), a city would begin enrolling drivers by taking all
qualified drivers (as of that day), and stratifying them based on minutes driven in the last month.
On each subsequent day a city could add more drivers to the experiment by re-running the SQL
query, and taking drivers who now qualified (but hadnt before), stratifying them, and adding
them to the experiment. Treated drivers would be sent an email explaining the new incentive,
and containing instructions as to how they could apply / enroll in the program (acceptance was
not automatic, and was based on meeting several financial conditions).Control drivers were
sent an email with the same information, but told that the incentive would be coming soon.
For your Analysis:
1) Use files Driver_Days (days a driver drove) and Driver_Condition (drivers experimental
details). The quantities we are interested are: minutes driven per day, probability of driving
per day, and earnings per day. What is the intent-to-treat effect (i.e. effect of the treatment
group) on these variables when expressed in levels? What is it when expressed as a percent?
How statistically confident are we in these effects? Make sure to succinctly justify your
empirical approach / defend your empirical design

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