Question: Trying to understand how to find the following below using a scenario, sensativity, and break-even analysis in Excel: Project Parameters: Suppose, we can sell 50,000
Trying to understand how to find the following below using a scenario, sensativity, and break-even analysis in Excel:
Project Parameters:
Suppose, we can sell 50,000 cans of shark attractant per year at a price of $4.00 per can. It costs us about $2.50 per can to make the attractant. A new product such as this one typically has only a three-year life. We require a 20% return on new products.
Fixed costs for the project will run $12,000 per year.
We will need to invest a total of $90,000 in manufacturing equipment. For simplicity, we will assume that this $90,000 will be fully depreciated over the three year life of the project.
The project will require an initial $20,000 investment in net working capital.
The tax rate is 34%.
Questions:
1. Set-up the problem below in the space provided. Calculate the NPV. Calculate the IRR.
2. Do a Scenario Analysis with the three following scenarios:
a. Best Case - Price per can $6, Cost per can $1.50
b. Base Case - Price per can $4, Cost per can $2.50
c. Worst Case - Price per can $4, Cost per can $3.50
3. Do a Sensitivity Analysis where you vary the number of cans from 20,000 to 80,000.
4. Do the following break-even analyses using the base case:
a. Break-even price so that NPV = 0
b. Break-even quantity so the NPV = 0
c. Break-even cost per can so that NPV = 0
Scenario:
| Number of cans | 50000 | |||
| Price per can | 4 | |||
| Cost per can | 2.5 | |||
| Fixed Cost | 12000 | |||
| Tax rate | 34% | |||
| Discount rate | 20% | |||
| Initial Investment | 90000 | |||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Revenue | $ 200,000 | |||
| COGS | $ 125,000 | |||
| Gross Profit | $ 75,000 | |||
| Fixed Cost | $ 12,000 | |||
| EBITDA | $ 63,000 | |||
| Depreciation | ||||
| EBIT | ||||
| Tax | ||||
| Net Income | ||||
| NCS | $ (90,000) | |||
| NWC | $ (20,000) | $ 20,000 | ||
| CFFA | ||||
| NPV | Hint: It should be $10,648 for the Base Case. | |||
| IRR |
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