Question: Use data in worksheet Time Series. Plot the data for each store. Develop a sales forecast for each of the 10 stores for the month
- Use data in worksheet Time Series. Plot the data for each store.
- Develop a sales forecast for each of the 10 stores for the month of December, using:
- A three month moving average
- A 2- month weighted moving average, with weights of 0.7 on the most recent month and 0.3 on the older month.
- Exponential smoothing with an alpha value of 0.25. Assume February forecast is Januarys actual.
- Compute measures of forecast accuracy to recommend the best forecasting technique to use for the data.
- Rank the 10 stores based on the forecasts you made with the technique that you determined (in the above step) to be the best forecasting method.
I NEED A 3 MOTH MOVING AVERAGE
A 2 MONTH WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE
EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHIN WITH ALPA VALUE .25
| Store | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| A1 | $11,801.75 | $11,801.75 | $9,766.96 | $10,072.18 | $8,647.83 | $12,208.70 | $9,665.22 | $9,461.75 | $10,479.14 | $8,953.05 | $9,054.79 | ? |
| A2 | $7,076.54 | $6,480.62 | $6,033.68 | $7,672.46 | $7,300.01 | $7,151.03 | $6,853.07 | $8,491.85 | $7,746.95 | $7,300.01 | $7,300.01 | ? |
| A3 | $19,992.55 | $19,107.92 | $16,277.12 | $15,215.57 | $15,392.49 | $16,277.12 | $19,107.92 | $20,700.25 | $18,046.37 | $19,107.92 | $15,038.64 | ? |
| A4 | $13,929.10 | $10,562.90 | $9,750.37 | $12,884.41 | $9,402.14 | $9,634.29 | $12,071.88 | $12,304.03 | $10,446.82 | $10,911.13 | $13,464.79 | ? |
| A5 | $36,436.19 | $26,112.60 | $28,845.32 | $33,096.20 | $28,238.05 | $28,845.32 | $27,327.14 | $33,703.47 | $36,132.55 | $32,792.57 | $31,578.03 | ? |
| A6 | $14,428.95 | $14,111.83 | $13,794.71 | $17,758.71 | $17,917.27 | $15,221.75 | $12,684.79 | $13,636.15 | $13,794.71 | $12,843.35 | $17,917.27 | ? |
| A7 | $17,056.90 | $16,757.65 | $16,907.27 | $15,111.81 | $16,009.54 | $14,363.70 | $16,308.79 | $16,907.27 | $14,513.32 | $16,907.27 | $16,009.54 | ? |
| A8 | $15,277.15 | $14,071.06 | $12,060.91 | $15,009.13 | $13,669.03 | $16,081.21 | $11,926.90 | $11,122.84 | $15,545.17 | $11,792.89 | $10,854.82 | ? |
| A9 | $2,629.69 | $3,229.95 | $3,315.70 | $2,343.86 | $2,486.77 | $3,401.45 | $3,058.45 | $3,144.20 | $2,886.94 | $2,772.61 | $3,287.11 | ? |
| A10 | $30,525.84 | $26,743.88 | $31,336.26 | $30,255.70 | $27,554.30 | $24,042.48 | $31,066.12 | $31,336.26 | $27,284.16 | $23,772.34 | $23,772.34 | ? |
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