Question: Use simple decision trees and a 1 0 % per year discount rate to evaluate a project, which has two phases. You may invest in

Use simple decision trees and a 10% per year discount rate to evaluate a project, which has two phases. You may invest in the first, in both or in neither. You may not invest in the second phase without investing in the first.
Phase 1 requires an investment of $100. One year later the project delivers
either $160 or $60 with equal probability. At that time, after the phase 1 payout has been received, you may invest an additional $100 for phase 2. One year later, phase 2 pays out either 20% more cash than phase 1 actually delivered or (equally likely)20% less. Assume no taxes.
How much would the project be worth if it offered only the phase 1 opportunity?
How much would phase 2 be worth if you had to choose today, once and for all, whether or not to invest in it?
How much is the project worth if you have access to both phases and can wait to decide whether to invest in phase 2?
How would you allocate the value of the project between assets-in-place and real options?

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