Question: Use the monthly data (September 2013 - November 2014) provided on the closing prices for Gold (GLD), NASDAQ, Oil (USO) and Facebook (FB). Date GLD

  1. Use the monthly data (September 2013 - November 2014) provided on the closing prices for Gold (GLD), NASDAQ, Oil (USO) and Facebook (FB).

Date

GLD

NASDAQ

USO

FB

Sep-13

128

3771

37

50

Oct-13

128

3920

35

50

Nov-13

121

4060

33

47

Dec-13

116

4177

35

55

Jan-14

120

4104

35

63

Feb-14

128

4308

37

68

Mar-14

124

4199

37

60

Apr-14

124

4115

36

60

May-14

120

4243

38

63

Jun-14

128

4408

39

67

Jul-14

123

4370

36

73

Aug-14

124

4580

36

75

Sep-14

116

4493

34

79

Oct-14

113

4631

31

75

Nov-14

115

4713

29

74

  1. What is the approximate value of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of forecasting based on 3 months moving average for GLD prices?

3.81%

8.74%

3.44%

8.54%

  1. What is the risk as measured by the standard deviation of monthly return for Oil during the sample period?

7.90%

5.19%

2.80%

4.20%

  1. What is the approximate value of mean absolute error (MAE) of forecasting based on 5 months moving average for GLD prices?

5.89

4.56

4.10

6.08

  1. What is the correlation between prices of NASDAQ and Facebook during the sample period?

0.89

-0.54

0.73

-0.44

  1. What is the mean monthly return for Oil during the sample period?

-1.60%

-0.68%

3.12%

1.64%

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