Question: Use this spreadsheet: Target.csv 1. Deflate the Sales numbers by relevant GDP deflator. 2. Fit Exponential smoothing, ARIMA and Prophet forecasts to the data uptill
Use this spreadsheet: Target.csv
1. Deflate the Sales numbers by relevant GDP deflator.
2. Fit Exponential smoothing, ARIMA and Prophet forecasts to the data uptill 2019.
3. Mention the fit indices for all three methods
4. Use the method with best fit indices to forecast the sale of four quarters of 2020.
| Data Date | Company | Fiscal Data Year and Quarter | Rev |
| 1/31/2013 | TARGET CORP | 2012Q4 | 22726 |
| 4/30/2013 | TARGET CORP | 2013Q1 | 16620 |
| 7/31/2013 | TARGET CORP | 2013Q2 | 16841 |
| 10/31/2013 | TARGET CORP | 2013Q3 | 16925 |
| 1/31/2014 | TARGET CORP | 2013Q4 | 20893 |
| 4/30/2014 | TARGET CORP | 2014Q1 | 16657 |
| 7/31/2014 | TARGET CORP | 2014Q2 | 16957 |
| 10/31/2014 | TARGET CORP | 2014Q3 | 17253 |
| 1/31/2015 | TARGET CORP | 2014Q4 | 21751 |
| 4/30/2015 | TARGET CORP | 2015Q1 | 17119 |
| 7/31/2015 | TARGET CORP | 2015Q2 | 17427 |
| 10/31/2015 | TARGET CORP | 2015Q3 | 17613 |
| 1/31/2016 | TARGET CORP | 2015Q4 | 21626 |
| 4/30/2016 | TARGET CORP | 2016Q1 | 16196 |
| 7/31/2016 | TARGET CORP | 2016Q2 | 16168 |
| 10/31/2016 | TARGET CORP | 2016Q3 | 16441 |
| 1/31/2017 | TARGET CORP | 2016Q4 | 20690 |
| 4/30/2017 | TARGET CORP | 2017Q1 | 16223 |
| 7/31/2017 | TARGET CORP | 2017Q2 | 16634 |
| 10/31/2017 | TARGET CORP | 2017Q3 | 16874 |
| 1/31/2018 | TARGET CORP | 2017Q4 | 22983 |
| 4/30/2018 | TARGET CORP | 2018Q1 | 16781 |
| 7/31/2018 | TARGET CORP | 2018Q2 | 17777 |
| 10/31/2018 | TARGET CORP | 2018Q3 | 17821 |
| 1/31/2019 | TARGET CORP | 2018Q4 | 22977 |
| 4/30/2019 | TARGET CORP | 2019Q1 | 17627 |
| 7/31/2019 | TARGET CORP | 2019Q2 | 18422 |
| 10/31/2019 | TARGET CORP | 2019Q3 | 18664 |
| 1/31/2020 | TARGET CORP | 2019Q4 | 23399 |
| 4/30/2020 | TARGET CORP | 2020Q1 | 19615 |
| 7/31/2020 | TARGET CORP | 2020Q2 | 22975 |
| 10/31/2020 | TARGET CORP | 2020Q3 | 22632 |
| 1/31/2021 | TARGET CORP | 2020Q4 | 28339 |
| 4/30/2021 | TARGET CORP | 2021Q1 | 24197 |
| 7/31/2021 | TARGET CORP | 2021Q2 | 25160 |
| 10/31/2021 | TARGET CORP | 2021Q3 | 25652 |
| 1/31/2022 | TARGET CORP | 2021Q4 | 30996 |
| 4/30/2022 | TARGET CORP | 2022Q1 | 25170 |
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