Question: Using monthly YEN/AUD data, implement a carry strategy by going long the forward of the currency that is trading at a discount. a) Compute the

Using monthly YEN/AUD data, implement a carry strategy by going long the forward of the currency that is trading at a discount.

a) Compute the average return, std deviation, min and max returns. Compute and plot cumulative returns over time to investing $1 in this strategy at the beginning of the time period.

b) Instead of using the forward, compute the carry returns as borrowing 1 YEN to pay back in one month, converting to AUD at the current spot rate, investing in AUD for a month, and converting back to YEN at the next months spot rate and paying back the initial 1 YEN borrowed. Do you expect to see significant differences between using forward market to do the carry trade or implementing directly in using the money markets? Why?

c) What leverage level could have wiped out the equity for this carry strategy?

Date YEN/AUD Spot YEN/AUD 1M Forward AUD LIBOR 1M YEN LIBOR 1M
1989-01-31 114.93 113.8912128 15.297% 4.313%
1989-02-28 101.52 100.5523728 16.375% 4.781%
1989-03-31 108.64 107.519942 16.984% 4.438%
1989-04-28 105.09 104.028021 16.859% 4.563%
1989-05-31 106.8 105.6819623 17.938% 5.188%
1989-06-30 108.79 107.6734035 17.875% 5.375%
1989-07-31 104.12 103.0300739 18.000% 5.250%
1989-08-31 110.44 109.3515861 17.625% 5.625%
1989-09-29 108.23 107.1330931 17.938% 5.594%
1989-10-31 111.58 110.5192416 17.891% 6.313%
1989-11-30 111.78 110.7603367 17.859% 6.750%
1989-12-29 113.61 112.6126024 17.375% 6.688%
1990-01-31 111.1 110.1869119 16.750% 6.750%

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