Using the chart below for the company share price for the last 13 months Calculate the returns
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Question:
- Using the chart below for the company share price for the last 13 months Calculate the returns and expected returns %
- Forecast the share expected returns for the coming 3 months using:
- Moving average with w = 3
- Simple exponential smoothing with w = 0.7
- Determine which forecasting method has higher confidence
- What you can do to improve your forecasting
Month | BMO.TO Adj Close |
2022-03-01 | 141.05 |
2022-04-01 | 130.60 |
2022-05-01 | 133.19 |
2022-06-01 | 119.82 |
2022-07-01 | 123.58 |
2022-08-01 | 118.66 |
2022-09-01 | 118.49 |
2022-10-01 | 122.81 |
2022-11-01 | 129.99 |
2022-12-01 | 121.36 |
2023-01-01 | 132.48 |
2023-02-01 | 129.32 |
2023-03-01 | 120.38 |
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