Using the data set below, what would be the forecast for period $6$ using the exponential smoothing method? Assume the forecast for period $5$ is $14,000.$ Use a smoothing constant of $a=0\mathrm{.}4.($Choose the closest ariswer.$)$

Period Actual Demand

$\backslash$table$[[1,11,900],[2,12,500],[3,14,325],[4,15,750],[5,10,500],[6,15,500],[,14,030],[,12,600],[,14,070],[,13,190]]$