Question: Using the data set in column B., perform a Sensitivity Analysis on your Forecast 2023 assuming a change in COGS/Net Sales. Net Sales for Sensitivity
| Using the data set in column B., perform a Sensitivity Analysis on your Forecast 2023 assuming a change in COGS/Net Sales. Net Sales for Sensitivity 2023 is based on Forecast 2022 Net Sales. How does R&E's projected external funding required change if the ratio of cost of goods sold to net sales declines from 86.0 percent to 84.0 percent? answer and observation in Box B. |
| Data Set - R&E SUPPLIES | |||||
| Facts and assumptions ($ thousands) | |||||
| A. | B. | C. | |||
| Actual | Forecast | Forecast | Sensitivity | Scenario | |
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Net sales | $20,613 | 5% | |||
| Growth rate in sales | 25% | 30% | |||
| Cost of goods sold/net sales | 86% | 86% | 84% | 88% | |
| Gen., sell., and admin. expense/net sales | 12% | 11% | |||
| Long-term debt | $760 | $660 | $560 | ||
| Current portion long-term debt | $100 | $100 | $100 | ||
| Interest rate | 10% | 10% | |||
| Tax rate | 45% | 45% | |||
| Dividend/earnings after tax | 50% | 50% | |||
| Current assets/net sales | 29% | 29% | 35% | ||
| Net fixed assets | $280 | $270 | |||
| Current liabilities/net sales | 14.5% | 14.4% | |||
| Owners' equity | $1,730 | ||||
| INCOME STATEMENT ($ thousands) | |||||
| Forecast | Forecast | Sensitivity | Scenario | ||
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Net sales | $25,766 | ||||
| Cost of goods sold | 22,159 | ||||
| Gross profit | 3,607 | - | - | ||
| General, selling, and administrative expense | 3,092 | - | - | ||
| Interest expense | 231 | 66 | 66 | ||
| Earnings before tax | 285 | (66) | (66) | ||
| Tax | 128 | (30) | (30) | ||
| Earnings after tax | 156 | (36) | (36) | ||
| Dividends paid | 78 | (18) | (18) | ||
| Additions to retained earnings | 78 | (18) | (18) | ||
| BALANCE SHEET ($ thousands) | |||||
| Current assets | $7,472 | $0 | |||
| Net fixed assets | 280 | 270 | 270 | ||
| Total assets | 7,752 | - | 270 | 270 | |
| Current liabilities | 3,736 | - | - | ||
| Long-term debt | 660 | 560 | 560 | ||
| Equity | 1,808 | 1,790 | 1,790 | ||
| Total liabilities and owners' equity | 6,204 | - | 2,350 | 2,350 | |
| External funding required | $1,548 |
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