Year	Outbreak	Max temp	Rel humidity
1987	Yes	30.14	82.86
1988	No	30.66	79.57
1989	No	26.31	89.14
1990	Yes	28.43	91
1991	No	29.57	80.57
1992	Yes	31.25	67.82
1993	No	30.35	61.76
1994	Yes	30.71	81.14
1995	No	30.71	61.57
1996	Yes	33.07	59.76
1997	No	31.5	68.29
2000	No	29.5	79.14

4. To answer the following question, use the "Powdery Mildew Epidemic" file from the Quiz dataset folder.

This dataset reports the occurrence of an agricultural epidemic called "powdery mildew" in mango trees. The epidemic typically occurs in the third and fourth week of March, and hence outbreak status is known by the end of March of a given year. Typically, two weather predictors (maximum temperature and relative humidity) are used to forecast an outbreak.

What is the naive forecast for the outbreak in 2001?

	a.	Yes
	b.	7.25
	c.	None of the above.
	d.	No