Question: Year Spot Rates 1 2% 2 3% 3 4% 4 5% Assume that, for each maturity, there is a zero-coupon bond traded in the market.
| Year | Spot Rates |
| 1 | 2% |
| 2 | 3% |
| 3 | 4% |
| 4 | 5% |
Assume that, for each maturity, there is a zero-coupon bond traded in the market. These zeroes pay $1000 at their respective maturity
a. Is the term structure positive, inverted, or flat?
b. What is the forward rate from t=1 to t=2?
c. Suppose that the investor is expecting to receive $1 million at t=1. This is a future cash inflow. He is planning to do the following investment strategy for this future cash inflow. He will borrow $980392.16 (this is $1 million / (1+2%)) now and use this borrowing to buy a two-year zero. At t=1, the one-year zero matures, and he will make the payment to the one-year zero lenders. At t=2, the two-year zero matures, and he will receive the payment from the two-year zero. Fill in the below cash flow table (the unit is $1 million).
| t=0 | t=1 | t=2 | |
| One-year zero | |||
| Two-year zero | |||
| Others (the $1 million that the investor is expecting to receive at t=1) | |||
| Total |
d. What is the net return that this investor will get from his $1 million future cash flow from t=1 to t=2? Compare it with the forward and comment on what you find
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