You are researching two mutual funds, LOW and HIGH. You estimate expected returns for the up-coming year
Question:
You are researching two mutual funds, LOW and HIGH. You estimate expected returns for the up-coming year to be 3% for LOW and 21% for HIGH. LOW fund invests only in government bonds (risk-free) which it holds to maturity, meaning that LOW’s return for the up-coming year is known in advance. HIGH invests in risky securities that give its returns a standard deviation of 64%.
To better gauge HIGH’s risk, you ran the CAPM regression on some recent historical data:
rHI – rf = α + β ( rM – rf) + ε
which generated the following results:
Regression Statistics |
| |
R Square | 0.263 |
|
Observations | 120 |
|
| Coefficient | t Stat |
Intercept | ??? | 0.775 |
(rM – rf) | 2.050 | 4.235 |
You estimate the expected return on the market portfolio to be 11% with standard deviation of 16%.
- Does the HIGH fund lie above, on, or below the Security Market Line? If off, by how much?
- Is HIGH over, under, or fairly-priced according to the CAPM?
Financial Markets And Institutions
ISBN: 978-0132136839
7th Edition
Authors: Frederic S. Mishkin, Stanley G. Eakins