Question: You are using a historical simulation with 1,000 past trading days to estimate risk the expected shortfall of the portfolio. You sort the simulated daily
You are using a historical simulation with 1,000 past trading days to estimate risk the expected shortfall of the portfolio. You sort the simulated daily P/L from worst to best giving the following worst 15 scenarios. What is the 99%, 1day expected shortfall of the portfolio?
Scenario Rank Daily P/L
1 USD 2,833
2 USD 2,333
3 USD 2,228
4 USD 2,084
5 USD 1,960
6 USD 1,751
7 USD 1,679
8 USD 1,558
9 USD 1,542
10 USD 1,484
11 USD 1,450
12 USD 1,428
13 USD 1,368
14 USD 1,347
15 USD 1,319
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