Question: You have $ 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 that can be invested into two projects. Based on prior knowledge, you estimate the first

You have $500,000 that can be invested into two projects. Based on prior knowledge, you estimate the first project will succeed with 0.75 probability in which case it quadruples in value. If the first project fails, its scrap value is worth $300,000. Youve estimated the second project to succeed with a probability of 0.85, and will return three times its original value if it succeeds and $250,000 if it doesnt.
What is the expected return for the first project?
What is the expected return for the second project
Which project should you pursue (enter 1 or 2)?

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