Question: You have been hired as a data analytics consultant by a credit institution, and your task is to deploy a model that can detect potentially
You have been hired as a data analytics consultant by a credit institution, and your
task is to deploy a model that can detect potentially defaulting clients among those
who apply for shorttomedium term loans. The company has provided you with
data on a sample of customers, which include the following variables:
You fit a logistic regression model to the data, obtaining the following output.
a Using the output above:
i Explain how, according to the model, a customer's income category affects
the odds of defaulting on a loan.
ii Determine the percentage variation in the odds of defaulting for a subject
applying for a euro loan compared to a subject applying for a
euro loan. b Two subjects having the following characteristics apply for loans:
Which of the two subjects is more likely to being given the loan? Justify your
answcr.
c Two classification thresbolds are taben into consideration to obtain the es
timated classification yo from the estimated probabilities. Crosstabulations
of predicted classification and default status are reported below for different
values of the threshold
i In order to evaluate the predictive performance of the model, the com
pany's primary concern is the classifier's ability to accurately identify
defaulting customers. In light of this information, use an appropriate ap
proach to determine the optimal classification threshold. Comment on
the prodictive performance related to this optimal threshold.
ii Compute the prevalence of the default yes class, and explain briefly
why using the classification accuracy might not be ideal to assess the
prodictive performance of the model in this context.
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