Question: You'll practice calculating normal probabilities, using your calculator or other tech such as SALT. https://www.webassign.net/csalt/index.html#/toolset/distributions 1. What is the probability that a single randomly chosen

You'll practice calculating normal probabilities, using your calculator or other tech such as SALT. https://www.webassign.net/csalt/index.html#/toolset/distributions

1. What is the probability that a single randomly chosen value (from 1 to 100) would be over 60? [Note that this is a uniform distribution, so don't use the NormalCdf command, think of it like a spinner with 100 slots] 2. What is the probability that the mean of a group of 5 randomly chosen values (from 1 to 100) would be over 60? The NormalCdf command is now appropriate. [Note the population mean is 50.5 for all the questions on this activity. The SD is 29.01, but when you group of 5 means together, it shrinks the SD down. In this case, these would then have an SD of 29.01/sqrt(5) = 12.97] 3. Look over the Google doc - what proportion of size 5 samples have a mean over 60? How close did we get to the proportion the mathematics in #2 predicts? 4. What is the probability that the mean of a group of 20 randomly chosen values (from 1 to 100) would be over 60? [Again, when you group means together, it shrinks the SD down. In this case, these would then have an SD of 29.01/sqrt(20) = 6.49] 5. Look over the Google doc - what proportion of size 20 samples have a mean over 60? How close did we get to the proportion the mathematics in #4 predicts?

6. What is the probability that a single randomly chosen value (from 1 to 100) would be between 40 and 55? [Note that this is a uniform distribution, so don't use the NormalCdf command, think of it like a spinner with 100 slots] 7. What is the probability that the mean of a group of 5 randomly chosen values (from 1 to 100) would be between 40 and 55? [see #2 for the SD] 8. Look over the Google doc- what proportion of your group's samples of 5 have a mean between 40 and 55? How close did we get to the proportion the mathematics in #7 predicts? 9. What is the probability that the mean of a group of 20 randomly chosen values (from 1 to 100) would be between 40 and 55? [see #4 for the SD] 10. Look over the Google doc- what proportion of your group's samples of 20 have a mean between 40 and 55? How close did we get to the proportion the mathematics in #9 predicts? 11. Use the SD you found in (2) that has been adjusted for the sample size, and the Empirical Rule to say what 68% of the sample means will fall between in samples of size 5. 12. Working backwards: With a sample of size 20, what sample mean would fall at the 15th percentile? The 70th percentile? 13. Reflect: Keeping in mind that you're finding the mean of the data you get, why is a sample of 20 any better than a sample of 5? That is, WHY are the size 20 sample means closer to the actual population average when compared to the size 5 means? (note: you answered this question weeks ago at the end of Activity 1, this is chance to go deeper, as you have more insight at this point in the course)

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