Question: Continuing the estuarine deposition example in Section 2.1, let's consider that the urbanization pressure is not expected for another 20 years, and that climate scientists

Continuing the estuarine deposition example in Section 2.1, let's consider that the urbanization pressure is not expected for another 20 years, and that climate scientists advise that there is a 70% chance that there will be a climate shift in that period such as to modify the probabilities to Pr(A) = 0.15, Pr(B) = 0.25 and Pr(B|A) = 0.6. What is the daily probability of deposition in 20 years time, if that is when urbanization will occur?

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